robus
Lowcountry Low Roller
If it's not reliable at high levels, then I have no reason to trust it at low levels. Given that I'm going to second guess everything anyway, it's easier to just ignore the guidelines and go with my intuition at every step along the way.
Absolutely an experienced DM with a regular group should definitely do that.
But would you do that if you were writing an adventure for other groups to use? Or if you were inexperienced yet wanting to develop original encounters for your own group?
In other words if you couldn't rely on your intuition what would you do?