Mark
CreativeMountainGames.com
As for older editions, I think a certain amount of self-selection is at work. Folks who enjoyed 1E or 2E with minis are more likely to enjoy 3.X or 4E's focus on minis. I posit that those folks are thus more likely to switch to 3.X or 4E. Folks who didn't use minis in 1E or 2E are less likely to enjoy 3X or 4E's focus on minis. Those folks are more likely to keep playing earlier editions. Over time, earlier editions of the game thus become more associated with non-mini play, because the people who played them with minis have moved on.
Edit: It also seems to me that the folks who complain about 4E's focus on minis are more likely to be 1E Grognards who didn't particularly like 3.X either. I don't know that I've seen too many 3.X players complaining about the use of minis in 4E.
Interesting theory, however, here is a photo of myself, diaglo, tavis behemoth and feanor/Skach choosing some minis for his (O)D&D game last March at GaryCon I in Lake Geneva. Note that we had the Outdoor Survival board in use at this point in the game. diaglo runs (O)D&D regularly. He and I are about as close to true grognards as still walk the earth. Of course, we both started playing before 1E was even a thought and grognards are wargamers, not RPGers, so perhaps you've misposted on a few points, but I do find it interesting that maybe those who didn't use minis stuck with earlier editions, generally speaking. You might post the question at Dragonsfoot regarding minis use and see what sort of response you get there.
