Darrin Drader
Explorer
I think the issue people have with your posts stems from the fact that you're not actually accepting all of the evidence, as you have been dismissing the sales information as biased or untrustworthy. It seems strange to point to an internet poll as a source of evidence without bias, then imply that sales data from even third-party sources (Amazon, NYT Bestseller List) can't be trusted.
I'm not disputing NYT or Amazon. However, their sales data leaves a lot of unknowns. How many copies have actually sold through either outlet. How does the reduced number of hobby game stores and book stores affect the number of books being sold through places like Amazon? But the biggest question of all is how are sales actually doing when measured against Hasbro's expectations? Since we don't know the number of actual books that have sold and we don't know how many Hasbro expects to sell, nobody besides WotC has enough information to say how well its selling.
Now if you want to argue that 4E is blowing the sales of every other RPG out there out of the water, you're right. It isn't even a question.
The only way to tell for sure that it is selling up to or beyond expectations is for Hasbro to release an official statement to its shareholders that states the health of the brand. I'll believe that. Everything else is specualtion. It may be semi-informed speculation, but it is speculation nonetheless.