Raven Crowking
First Post
As far as the numbers go, Q is spot on.
As far as the conclusions some draw from it, I have asked them to explain why, and thus far their responses have been entirely unconvincing.
The problem is that this is like the moon landing. I was there, and involved in playing 1e. I know what leveling was like at my table. I played 1e in several US States, with over 100 individual players and DMs. I know what leveling was like at those tables. By extension, since those players were involved with other games, I know what they said about those other games as well.
My experience is that, at least within that dataset, approximately 1/3 of all treasure in a module was missed within the areas explored and that, most frequently, some portion of a module was not explored. Even recently, running KotB using 3e Search rules, we had the same rough ratio. The group explored less than 1/6th of the caverns, and left 1/3 of the treasure unfound in the areas they did explore.
Within my own games, the highest level PCs (earned legitimately) were 16th and 14th level....and they both belonged to the same player. One of those PCs (the 14th level fighter) is now a deity in my campaign setting (Julius Invincible), while the other was his father, a magic user. Examining the back of the 1e Rogues Gallery further demonstrates the comparatively low level of the game's "Big Names". If everyone leveled in 1e as in 3e, surely Gary Gygax would have gotten at least one character to 20th level by the time that book came out.......
Now, I know a guy who thinks that the moon landing was faked. He'll bring up photographic evidence, and he'll claim that this shadow or that reflection "proves" his assertation. When I point out that there are other potential interpretations of that same data -- and ones that much better gibe with my experience -- he acccuses me of being unwilling to accept the evidence.
"Daniel has determined the answer," he says, "and shall not be moved from it."
And, when we reach that point in the discussion, he, too, starts with the insults: "Your argument gets sillier and sillier.", "One wonder why you think your argument could ever be considered convincing.", "That's just ridiculous."
But here is the thing. Maybe the moon landing was faked. It is not impossible that the moon landing was faked. However, it is irrational to believe that the moon landing was faked unless the weight of evidence -- including how that evidence is interpretted -- is greater than the evidence against. And personal experience can and does count as evidence against. Just as Neil Armstrong would be harder to convince that the moon landing was faked.
When the evidence presented is insufficient to convince someone, merely repeating "Yes it is" is unlikely to change their mind.
OTOH, if you look upthread, I have described exactly what kind of analysis would change my mind. If you wanted to convince me, you would just have to supply the (correct) numbers.
RC
As far as the conclusions some draw from it, I have asked them to explain why, and thus far their responses have been entirely unconvincing.
The problem is that this is like the moon landing. I was there, and involved in playing 1e. I know what leveling was like at my table. I played 1e in several US States, with over 100 individual players and DMs. I know what leveling was like at those tables. By extension, since those players were involved with other games, I know what they said about those other games as well.
My experience is that, at least within that dataset, approximately 1/3 of all treasure in a module was missed within the areas explored and that, most frequently, some portion of a module was not explored. Even recently, running KotB using 3e Search rules, we had the same rough ratio. The group explored less than 1/6th of the caverns, and left 1/3 of the treasure unfound in the areas they did explore.
Within my own games, the highest level PCs (earned legitimately) were 16th and 14th level....and they both belonged to the same player. One of those PCs (the 14th level fighter) is now a deity in my campaign setting (Julius Invincible), while the other was his father, a magic user. Examining the back of the 1e Rogues Gallery further demonstrates the comparatively low level of the game's "Big Names". If everyone leveled in 1e as in 3e, surely Gary Gygax would have gotten at least one character to 20th level by the time that book came out.......

Now, I know a guy who thinks that the moon landing was faked. He'll bring up photographic evidence, and he'll claim that this shadow or that reflection "proves" his assertation. When I point out that there are other potential interpretations of that same data -- and ones that much better gibe with my experience -- he acccuses me of being unwilling to accept the evidence.
"Daniel has determined the answer," he says, "and shall not be moved from it."
And, when we reach that point in the discussion, he, too, starts with the insults: "Your argument gets sillier and sillier.", "One wonder why you think your argument could ever be considered convincing.", "That's just ridiculous."
But here is the thing. Maybe the moon landing was faked. It is not impossible that the moon landing was faked. However, it is irrational to believe that the moon landing was faked unless the weight of evidence -- including how that evidence is interpretted -- is greater than the evidence against. And personal experience can and does count as evidence against. Just as Neil Armstrong would be harder to convince that the moon landing was faked.
When the evidence presented is insufficient to convince someone, merely repeating "Yes it is" is unlikely to change their mind.
OTOH, if you look upthread, I have described exactly what kind of analysis would change my mind. If you wanted to convince me, you would just have to supply the (correct) numbers.
RC
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