I don't understand the rolling 12 times argument. Do you only own one d20?
Alright vs an AC of 14 without a +:
2d20 → [11,2] = miss
2d20 → [19,20] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [18,2] = hit
2d20 → [20,18] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [14,19] = hit
2d20 → [18,14] = hit
2d20 → [20,4] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [6,16] = hit
2d20 → [2,14] = hit
2d20 → [12,1] = miss
2d20 → [18,6] = hit
2d20 → [3,1] = miss
2d20 → [3,13] = miss
2d20 → [17,1] = hit
2d20 → [20,15] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [13,19] = hit
2d20 → [16,9] = hit
2d20 → [18,16] = hit
2d20 → [12,1] = miss
2d20 → [4,10] = miss
2d20 → [8,12] = miss
2d20 → [2,11] = miss
2d20 → [16,17] = hit
2d20 → [19,16] = hit
2d20 → [13,1] = miss
2d20 → [16,18] = hit
2d20 → [17,13] = hit
2d20 → [8,3] = miss
2d20 → [7,19] = hit
2d20 → [10,14] = hit
2d20 → [16,20] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [16,15] = hit
2d20 → [9,14] = hit
2d20 → [7,20] = hit (crit)
2d20 → [11,13] = miss
2d20 → [17,8] = hit
2d20 → [7,10] = miss
2d20 → [13,4] = miss
2d20 → [3,16] = hit
2d20 → [18,16] = hit
13 miss, 27 hit (6 critical)
but without ordering them to pairs:
2d20 → [11,2] = miss, miss
2d20 → [19,20] = hit, hit (crit)
2d20 → [18,2] = hit, miss
2d20 → [20,18] = hit (crit), hit
2d20 → [14,19] = hit, hit
2d20 → [18,14] = hit, hit
2d20 → [20,4] = hit (crit), miss
2d20 → [6,16] = miss, hit
2d20 → [2,14] = miss, hit
2d20 → [12,1] = miss, miss
2d20 → [18,6] = hit, miss
2d20 → [3,1] = miss, miss
2d20 → [3,13] = miss, miss
2d20 → [17,1] = hit, miss
2d20 → [20,15] = hit (crit), hit
2d20 → [13,19] = miss, hit
2d20 → [16,9] = hit, miss
2d20 → [18,16] = hit, hit
2d20 → [12,1] = miss, miss
2d20 → [4,10] = miss, miss
2d20 → [8,12] = miss, miss
2d20 → [2,11] = miss, miss
2d20 → [16,17] = hit, hit
2d20 → [19,16] = hit, hit
2d20 → [13,1] = miss, miss
2d20 → [16,18] = hit, hit
2d20 → [17,13] = hit, miss
2d20 → [8,3] = miss, miss
2d20 → [7,19] = miss, hit
2d20 → [10,14] = miss, hit
2d20 → [16,20] = hit, hit (crit)
2d20 → [16,15] = hit, hit
2d20 → [9,14] = miss, hit
2d20 → [7,20] = miss, hit (crit)
2d20 → [11,13] = miss, miss
2d20 → [17,8] = hit, miss
2d20 → [7,10] = miss, miss
2d20 → [13,4] = miss, miss
2d20 → [3,16] = miss, hit
2d20 → [18,16] = hit, hit
count only hits and misses and now try to determine how many actually hit of the 40 attack
