D&D and the rising pandemic


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Eltab

Lord of the Hidden Layer
Tangent:
Although, were there no events in WWII which match this statistic?
According to Jared Diamond (famous for Guns Germs and Steel) in The Day Before Yesterday, modern warfare has higher total-casualty figures but lower death-percentage rates. This is a function of both higher populations and densities, and of cultural features like the Rules of War.
So, it is forbidden to bomb cities (civilians), thereby protecting a high percentage of the population from harm. But once somebody starts doing it, hundreds of thousands or even millions of people are in the way to get hurt.

More On-Topic:
I would look at WWI statistics. Besides the 1918 influenza epidemic, the daily bloodletting of the trenches was enough to leave France, Britain, and Germany manpower-starved a generation later. That attrition rate spiked during events like the Battle of the Somme which cost Britain 100,000 casualties on the first day alone, or the months-long Battle of Verdun which cost France and Germany 1,000,000 casualties each.
 


NotAYakk

Legend
Someone's crunched the numbers here.

Can't sustain it long term, more people have Committed suicide than the virus has killed.
Suicide does not increase in numbers exponentially.

You can surrender whenever you want. Start digging graves, and accept 1%-8% mortality and twice that with crippled lung function for life (estimates based on heath care system failure).

More data will come. There are nations and regions who will let it burn, and you can see how hot it actually gets.

You can always surrender. But once you do, you cannot go back to fighting.

In the USA, Covid passed every cause of death except cancer and heart disease. It showed every indication it would keep blowing past those two; currently, their biggest city is silent except the constant ambulance sirens as death walks its streets.
 

Eltab

Lord of the Hidden Layer
New Yorks the opening act.

Wait for it to hit state capitals that don't have the facilities NY has.

Or the retirement community in Florida.
In Indiana, Indianapolis has more cases than the other 91 counties combined. That will eventually change because we have urban sprawl from Chicago and Cincinnati in our state boundaries. Almost all rural counties are reporting 1 or single-digits, which leads to the thought that we should be 100% testing smaller cities and letting the people that already recovered from a bout or haven't got it yet, get back to work making the gear for the health care workers, current patients, and contagious carriers we know are out there but nobody is trying to find.
 

Zardnaar

Legend
In Indiana, Indianapolis has more cases than the other 91 counties combined. That will eventually change because we have urban sprawl from Chicago and Cincinnati in our state boundaries. Almost all rural counties are reporting 1 or single-digits, which leads to the thought that we should be 100% testing smaller cities and letting the people that already recovered from a bout or haven't got it yet, get back to work making the gear for the health care workers, current patients, and contagious carriers we know are out there but nobody is trying to find.

Someone's gonna crunch the numbers. There will be people dying due to this later due to a lack of resources.

A lot of the economic stuff would be torpedoed anyway. There's gonna be an uptick in all the negative stats that indirectly kill people for years to come.

No one's gonna know the costs yet so see what happens.
 

Zardnaar

Legend
In Indiana, Indianapolis has more cases than the other 91 counties combined. That will eventually change because we have urban sprawl from Chicago and Cincinnati in our state boundaries. Almost all rural counties are reporting 1 or single-digits, which leads to the thought that we should be 100% testing smaller cities and letting the people that already recovered from a bout or haven't got it yet, get back to work making the gear for the health care workers, current patients, and contagious carriers we know are out there but nobody is trying to find.

Yeah the article I read was looking at Alabama and Florida iirc.
 

FrogReaver

As long as i get to be the frog
Suicide does not increase in numbers exponentially.

You can surrender whenever you want. Start digging graves, and accept 1%-8% mortality and twice that with crippled lung function for life (estimates based on heath care system failure).

More data will come. There are nations and regions who will let it burn, and you can see how hot it actually gets.

You can always surrender. But once you do, you cannot go back to fighting.

In the USA, Covid passed every cause of death except cancer and heart disease. It showed every indication it would keep blowing past those two; currently, their biggest city is silent except the constant ambulance sirens as death walks its streets.

My U.S. prediction is that we will race back to BAU at the end of May and then have another outbreak start.
 

Zardnaar

Legend
My U.S. prediction is that we will race back to BAU at the end of May and then have another outbreak start.

My prediction is our borders are closed until there's a vaccine or it runs it's course and burns out worldwide.


On the plus side we can afford to borrow lots.
 
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Dannyalcatraz

Schmoderator
Staff member
Supporter
You aren't following the science though. The science says cat got sick with coronavirus symptoms. Cat tested positive. That test could have been cross contaminated but it still doesn't rule out the symptoms. Thus, the scientific approach would have been a belief that it's likely that cats can get coronavirus but we need more results to confirm.

That's what the science of the moment told us. Instead the reaction you gave was, "we can't believe this is possible till we are 100% certain". That's not following science - that's using a ridiculous criteria to silence any attempted talk about what the actual science was showing.
I absolutely followed the science.

The veterinarians themselves stated that there was no way to know for sure what made the cat sick without tests to be performed after the cat cleared quarantine, and why.

The symptoms could have had multiple causes, many completely unrelated to a Coronavirus infection. Hence the tests.
 

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