Umm, it didn't look like you included the -2 from the aftereffect of the dragon's frightful presence. Erdric is attacking at +17; his normal attack is +16 with a +1 bonus for shooting a quarry, so shouldn't his attack be +15? Is there some beneficial status buff I'm forgetting?
So that makes the first attack a 28, and thus a miss.
You didn't roll a save for the fear effect either; Roll Lookup is a failure.
Absolutely right on. Sorry about that; I had to rush the post a bit and missed the details.
