Li Shenron
Legend
I don't expect a big split this time, but only a very small splinter group, similar to what happened between 3.0 and 3.5. I will be in the splinter group like I was back then.
Most of all, I think WotC is counting on the fact that a large portion of the gamebase is always made of two kinds of people:
I have long ago turned into a minority kind of RPGamer. I like taking a ruleset or edition and treating it more as a toolset. I could easily play all my life with a single edition, although I've eventually gravitated around three of them (BECMI, 3.0 and 5e) which is two more than I need. In addition, I've grown to detest fandom, the attitudes/habits of most regular gamers, I care nothing for "official" labels, and I am suspicious of everything that is "en vogue". If the masses go one way, I pretty much immediately look for the other direction. More specifically in RPGing, I nowadays run the game almost exclusively for "casual gamers" i.e. friends, workmates, family which usually don't know much about D&D and just want to have some fun trying it out, they won't buy books (and I won't encourage them to do it) so the edition of choice is entirely up to me. As a player on someone else's table, I play pretty much anything they want, it doesn't have to be D&D so it also doesn't have to be a specific, but I'm not going to buy anything, so I'll be the "casual gamer" for them.
Most of all, I think WotC is counting on the fact that a large portion of the gamebase is always made of two kinds of people:
- heavy consumers who "need" frequent change and constant novelty in their hobby, some which are lucky to really play a lot and exhaust all the options, some others whose hobby is more focused on buying, collecting and talking instead of actually playing (it happens in all hobbies) and they just need something new all the time so for them a new edition is the best thing that can happen
- newcomers who simply buy whatever is current because they have no cognition or opinion about previous versions
I have long ago turned into a minority kind of RPGamer. I like taking a ruleset or edition and treating it more as a toolset. I could easily play all my life with a single edition, although I've eventually gravitated around three of them (BECMI, 3.0 and 5e) which is two more than I need. In addition, I've grown to detest fandom, the attitudes/habits of most regular gamers, I care nothing for "official" labels, and I am suspicious of everything that is "en vogue". If the masses go one way, I pretty much immediately look for the other direction. More specifically in RPGing, I nowadays run the game almost exclusively for "casual gamers" i.e. friends, workmates, family which usually don't know much about D&D and just want to have some fun trying it out, they won't buy books (and I won't encourage them to do it) so the edition of choice is entirely up to me. As a player on someone else's table, I play pretty much anything they want, it doesn't have to be D&D so it also doesn't have to be a specific, but I'm not going to buy anything, so I'll be the "casual gamer" for them.