D&D 5E (2024) Fireball Vs Chromatic Orb Late Tier 2 Thoughts.

[Zardnaar]

Chance of 2d8 matching = 12.5%
Chance of 2d8 treat 1 as 2 matching = 15.63%

Not that you roll 2d8, but that's all the math I want to do at the moment.

Well, 8d8 with Elemental Adept is 100% chance to bounce (assuming you hit).

From memory 6d8 is 92%, 7d8 97% and 8d8 is 99%. Without the feat.

 

[Quartz]

You guys are being insufficiently sneaky with Fireball, especially on the DM side. Consider the healing effect on an Iron Golem. Consider the BBEG using a fireball in a room to burn carpets and wall fabrics to uncover Glyphs of Warding or Symbols or both.