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I disagree strongly on this one. All available evidence shows that the creation of the RPGs from the wargaming scene happened organically out of boredom and downtime from wargaming. It was for people to identify with the individuals (leaders) they were commanding. The idea of wargaming spread from modern military (at the time, Kriegspiel) to historical re-enactment to "medieval combat" (knights, etc.) with ease.
That only seems to be disagreement with my first and lesser claim. (And even then, I would still argue that creating a medieval "rpg" is still not a "fantasy" rpg.) Even if they invented D&D exactly as it is, would it ever have become more popular than...well, than miniature wargaming itself was, in the absence of a huge Tolkien fan-base? I'm very, very skeptical. I know the reason I started playing way back then (~1981) was because of Tolkien.
This is more complicated. But to provide a (possible) counter-example, it's similar to asking "What if every school didn't teach the Great Gatsby?" Or, in other terms, "Why is to Kill a Mockingbird so popular?" (Because it coincided with paperback books being used in schools). Was there a cultural zeitgeist for fantasy at the time, that Tolkien fulfilled (that wasn't there when he first published, or at least not to the same extent), or did Tolkien create it? Chicken or egg? I happen to think that the late 60s and 70s were receptive to it (see also movies, other books, etc.) and that Tolkien moved into that space. As did D&D; but if not Tolkien, it would have been others.
That's the trouble with counterfactuals; they can't be disproven.![]()
Sure. And I *think* I'm being pretty explicit that this is just conjecture and my opinion.