Zardnaar
Legend
Only if you never, ever miss. And that's not true.
The crossbow expert only has to hit 50% of the time anything above that is gravy. 50% hit ratio with -5 is not hard. With 14.25 average AC you only need +8 to hit which is level 4 or 5 without any buffs. 1d6+15 X2 damage is an average of 37 damage 4 shots at 75% hit ratio is 1d6+5X3 which is only 25.5 damage.
If AC is higher buff. By level 9 +11 to hit is very doable which is AC 17 50% of the time.
Throw is bless those numbers creep up around AC 19 and 20 and with advantage it doesn't matter to much they can reliably hit AC 20+ easy enough.
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