Only a Fighter with a longbow or heavy crossbow does more damage per round (the crossbow requires the extra feat).
Again, your maths is wrong.
From 4 attacks I assume we're level 11. You mention Dual Wielder so I'll assume one feat.
A Dual Wielder uses two Longswords at 1d8+5 each.
From the 4 attacks, we have an average damage of 38 (which will have to be multiplied by accuracy).
From the chance of critting, we have an average damage of 4*0.05*4.5, which is 0.9.
A Great Weapon Master uses a Greatsword at 2d6+5.
From the 3 attacks (not using the -5/+10, because otherwise this table becomes 5 columns wider) we have an average damage of 40 (again, multiplied by accuracy).
5% of the time, we crit, adding not just 2d6, but another attack, making things complicated.
First the damage bonus from the crit: 0.05*25 = 1.25
Second the damage from the bonus attack: 0.05*13.33333 = 0.66666666 (again, multiplied by accuracy)
Thirdly the damage bonus from the crit from the bonus attack: 0.05*0.05*8.3333333= 0.020833333
A Crossbow Expert Archer uses a Hand Crossbow at 1d6+5. It also has 4 attacks.
From the attacks: 34 damage (multiplied by accuracy)
From the crits: 4*3.5*0.05 = 0.7
A Duelist, with no feats, deals 1d8+7 three times.
From the attacks: 34.5 damage (* accuracy)
From the crits: 3*0.05*4.5 = 0.675
So let's put this into a table, red means TWF is worse, green is better:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 100%, align: left"]
[TR]
[TD]
Style \
AC[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Two Weapon Fighting (Dual Wielder)[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]35.1[/TD]
[TD]33.2[/TD]
[TD]31.3[/TD]
[TD]29.4[/TD]
[TD]27.5[/TD]
[TD]25.6[/TD]
[TD]23.7[/TD]
[TD]21.8[/TD]
[TD]19.9[/TD]
[TD]18.0[/TD]
[TD]16.1[/TD]
[TD]14.2[/TD]
[TD]12.3[/TD]
[TD]10.4[/TD]
[TD]8.5[/TD]
[TD]6.6[/TD]
[TD]4.7[/TD]
[TD]2.8[/TD]
[TD]2.8[/TD]
[TD]2.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Duelist (No Feat)[/TD]
[TD]
33.45[/TD]
[TD]
33.45[/TD]
[TD]
31.725[/TD]
[TD]
30[/TD]
[TD]
28.275[/TD]
[TD]
26.55[/TD]
[TD]
24.825[/TD]
[TD]
23.1[/TD]
[TD]
21.375[/TD]
[TD]
19.65[/TD]
[TD]
17.925[/TD]
[TD]
16.2[/TD]
[TD]
14.475[/TD]
[TD]
12.75[/TD]
[TD]
11.025[/TD]
[TD]
9.3[/TD]
[TD]
7.575[/TD]
[TD]
5.85[/TD]
[TD]
4.125[/TD]
[TD]
2.4[/TD]
[TD]
2.4[/TD]
[TD]
2.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Archery (Crossbow Expert)[/TD]
[TD]
33[/TD]
[TD]
33[/TD]
[TD]
33[/TD]
[TD]
33[/TD]
[TD]31.3[/TD]
[TD]
29.6[/TD]
[TD]
27.9[/TD]
[TD]
26.2[/TD]
[TD]
24.5[/TD]
[TD]
22.8[/TD]
[TD]
21.1[/TD]
[TD]
19.4[/TD]
[TD]
17.7[/TD]
[TD]
16[/TD]
[TD]
14.3[/TD]
[TD]
12.6[/TD]
[TD]
10.9[/TD]
[TD]
9.2[/TD]
[TD]
7.5[/TD]
[TD]
5.8[/TD]
[TD]
4.1[/TD]
[TD]
2.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Great Weapon Fighter (Great Weapon Master)[/TD]
[TD]
26.1791333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
26.1791333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
24.9083[/TD]
[TD]
23.6374666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
22.3666333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
21.0958[/TD]
[TD]
19.8249666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
18.5541333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
17.2833[/TD]
[TD]
16.0124666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
14.7416333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
13.4708[/TD]
[TD]
12.1999666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
10.9291333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
9.6583[/TD]
[TD]
8.3874666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
7.1166333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
5.8458[/TD]
[TD]
4.5749666(...)[/TD]
[TD]
3.3041333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
3.3041333(...)[/TD]
[TD]
3.3041333(...)[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
N.B. That the above
doesn't include Action Surge, which favours every style
bar TWF.
I'd do one for GWF with -5/+10, and one for every style with Action Surge, but I'm tired of all the maths.