D&D and the rising pandemic

[Umbran]

I think industry will become less centralized and less distributed.

I think such projections are overstated.

The human race cannot, will not, and should not expect to remodel how it does things as a result of a particular crisis, to be in a state of perpetual readiness for such a crisis. There are a number of reasons for this, which largely boil down to: 1) We are psychologically ill-suited for it, 2) it is often wasteful, economically speaking - perpetual preparedness for crisis has a cost that is often greater than the cost needed to recover from a crisis, and 3) the changes needed to be prepared for Crisis A may leave you more vulnerable to Crisis B, which you cannot predict.

We could put up a bunch of hypothetical situations to demonstrate the principle, but it amounts to simply that you cannot always be prepared for everything, and trying to be so is incredibly costly.

 

[abirdcall]

I think such projections are overstated.

The human race cannot, will not, and should not expect to remodel how it does things as a result of a particular crisis, to be in a state of perpetual readiness for such a crisis. There are a number of reasons for this, which largely boil down to: 1) We are psychologically ill-suited for it, 2) it is often wasteful, economically speaking - perpetual preparedness for crisis has a cost that is often greater than the cost needed to recover from a crisis, and 3) the changes needed to be prepared for Crisis A may leave you more vulnerable to Crisis B, which you cannot predict.

We could put up a bunch of hypothetical situations to demonstrate the principle, but it amounts to simply that you cannot always be prepared for everything, and trying to be so is incredibly costly.

That all depends on whether we value people more or ensuring the ridiculously powerful gain and hoard more power.

I'm completely fine with hurting the economy. I don't care about corporate profits.

 

[Celebrim]

I'm completely fine with hurting the economy. I don't care about corporate profits.

It's invariably not 'corporate profits' that get hurt.

 

[abirdcall]

It's invariably not 'corporate profits' that get hurt.

That's true right now, but it could change.

In the immediate future it has to and will change.

The question is whether these societal changes will continue on after the crisis is over.

 

[Horwath]

I think such projections are overstated.

The human race cannot, will not, and should not expect to remodel how it does things as a result of a particular crisis, to be in a state of perpetual readiness for such a crisis. There are a number of reasons for this, which largely boil down to: 1) We are psychologically ill-suited for it, 2) it is often wasteful, economically speaking - perpetual preparedness for crisis has a cost that is often greater than the cost needed to recover from a crisis, and 3) the changes needed to be prepared for Crisis A may leave you more vulnerable to Crisis B, which you cannot predict.

We could put up a bunch of hypothetical situations to demonstrate the principle, but it amounts to simply that you cannot always be prepared for everything, and trying to be so is incredibly costly.

But every crisis does affect how humanity does things. in smaller or larger change.

Airport security was probably increased tenfold since 9-11, that sure drove up the costs,

2011 Fukushima nuclear accident changed global view on nuclear energy and stopped many in-development nuclear power plants to be built(I wont go into how stupid that decision is, but it was made as an reaction to a big crisis).

And I get the message that @MoonSong is trying to say. It is risky to put "all eggs in one basket".

Like having one giant power plant instead of 5 smaller, or giving more money to CDC and Medicare instead of DoD,

 

[MoonSong]

And I get the message that @MoonSong is trying to say. It is risky to put "all eggs in one basket".

More like all the eggs come from one single hen. And different parts of the hen are spread all over the world, so if something happens in one place, the rest of the hen stops laying eggs altogether. In short, you just need something happening in a single place to make all of the world stop, and that single place can be any of a big number of places.

 

[Zardnaar]

Amazon is currently hiring like, 100K people to support greater delivery demand. They show no sign of stopping.

Which is idiotic. Apparently they've crammed them into rooms for interviews and here are the rules.

Canceled my group almost 3 weeks ago.

I don't think it's sunk in yet in America. We're in lockdown here with 102 cases 0 deaths.

Even if they can hire them idk if they'll be able to do much with more states going into lockdown.

 

[Zardnaar]

I mean that it is in the same stores that some people will go anyway to get groceries. Also Amazon and delivery services have more work than ever.

My prediction is D&D will exist online and become a middle and upper class game.

Our PM hasn't suger coated much and invoked our great depression and wartime leader. We're basically going into wartime economy.

 

[Umbran]

I'm completely fine with hurting the economy. I don't care about corporate profits.

So, here's the thing - when I say something is not economical, I don't mean "corporate profits would take a hit." For one thing "the economy" is not just corporate profits. It is your iPhones, your groceries, your internet connection, your job. If the economy takes a hit, it doesn't selectively cut corporate profits - people lose jobs, homes, and so on.

What I mean is that long-term high preparedness for a disaster can cost more than recovering from the disaster. To give a hypothetical to demonstrate the point - my home might burn down. Do I spend the money owning a second home, just in case? No. That just isn't a cost-effective measure. I should not restructure my entire personal finances into real estate to make sure I have a place to live. I should buy some insurance to help me pay for it if the house burns down.

The same concept applies here, but on a larger scale.

This, especially because, at the moment, centralized production isn't really the issue. Most of life's goods are readily available. Fully restructuring our supply chains, when so far supply chains aren't the major issue, seems a bit off.

 

[Umbran]

My prediction is D&D will exist online and become a middle and upper class game.

It is already a middle and upper class game. No change there.