D&D and the rising pandemic

...and it seems like more and more of this country is prone to natural disasters, doesn't it?

In a sense, there's no such thing as a natural disaster. Everything we term a "natural disaster" is really just a natural event that we didn't prepare for. The disaster isn't of nature, but our own choices.

It's bizarre. I feel like so many people have made a collective decision to say, "Eff it." The people that have been vaccinated are just wishing a pox (quite literally) upon the unvaccinated, and the unvaccinated* just don't care about other people, and together, no one is doing anything. shrug

For the bulk of us, there isn't anything constructive that we can do. The solutions are known. The solutions are available. There's nothing that we, as individual citizens, can do to induce them to accept and utilize these solutions.
 

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There’s also the rise of the 24 hour news cycle and the ubiquity of smart phones that put more info at our fingertips.

My 75yo Mom is fond of telling me that, in her childhood & young adulthood, she had no inkling as to how long hurricanes lasted. They got hit, the power would go out, and by the time it was restored, the system had moved on or dissipated. And you wouldn’t find out about damage or casualties in the detail we get today.
 

First, all of my thoughts are going out to the people of Louisiana and surrounding areas. I was up all night watching that, and I can't imagine having to deal with the natural disaster on top of a pandemic on top of it being during the anniversary of Katrina; the PTSD from that alone ... if you're in an area that has to regularly deal with natural disasters of that type, you just get sinking feeling.
So yesterday I got a call from a buddy that I haven't talked to in about 2 years, since he moved to Baton Rouge. He was like, "Hey man. So I'm at my in-laws house and the eye of the hurricane is almost here. The winds making a really neat sound outside and I thought it would make a good soundtrack for a D&D game and thought I would call you." My immediate response was, "Are you okay? Did they want you to get out of there?" and he kept talking about how if I ever saw a track of high winds I should buy it.

51 years of life and I've never been on the phone with someone who was literally in the middle of a hurricane and the topic being pushed was not.....................the hurricane. Kinda threw me off a bit.
 

There’s also the rise of the 24 hour news cycle and the ubiquity of smart phones that put more info at our fingertips.

My 75yo Mom is fond of telling me that, in her childhood & young adulthood, she had no inkling as to how long hurricanes lasted. They got hit, the power would go out, and by the time it was restored, the system had moved on or dissipated. And you wouldn’t find out about damage or casualties in the detail we get today.

That's true, in some ways.

But ... if you've been in one of the areas affected, then you know that the media coverage of the damage usually goes away quickly - there's always something bright, shiny, and new.

But if you're there, you're still dealing with the power loss, the reconstruction, the lack of potable water, for weeks or months or even years afterwards. Maybe it's just losing power. Maybe it's losing your house or your neighborhood.

There's a big difference between living through a Michael, or an Irma, or a Katrina, or an Andrew, or a Sandy, or a Maria, or a Harvey and seeing it reported on the media.

And if you have, you don't wish that on anyone else.
 

That said, you couldn’t PAY me to live on the side of an active volcano like Mt. Etna.
LOL And I have a story about that as well...

Around 4 or 5 years ago my mother was visiting my wife and I and at one point she says, "I was talking to some people last week and I have an opportunity to buy property on the side of Mt. Vesuvius. Do you think I should?" My wife and I paused at that and were like, "Italy is a nice place and all, but don't you think there might be better places to buy a house?" My mother responded, "But those other places are a lot more expensive." to which we replied, "Yes, there's a reason for that. Pompei!"

Edit: it might have been next to and not on the mountain, but still...
 

I read an interesting bit today, relevant to those folks who are getting covid, or their loved ones are getting covid, and going to the hospital, and still they refuse to accept the dire nature of the situation. The behavior we are seeing (and it's remedy) are well known... in the study of confidence games, fraud and grift.

There comes a time in every scam in which the victim figures out that they've been had. But the most common behavior is not to report the scam to authorities and add information to bring the grifter to justice. No - most victims keep their moths shut... because it is embarrassing.

It is deeply, profoundly, and indeed identity-challengingly embarassing. Fraud generally depends on making you feel like you are making the smart and right choice that others won't make. You identify as a shrewd individual, but the grift reveals you to be... just an ordinary, easily-fooled mark.

The mark has two choices - accept the loss, or reject the fact that it was all a grift. Up to the moment of this choice, the mark is a victim, and we can have some empathy for that. However, they remain on the hook for their choice at this point, ethically speaking. But, many choose to reject that there was a grift, and that's dangerous, because it perpetuates the grift to others.

Society, then, has two basic choices -
1) Deliver appropriate social consequences for their anti-social behavior. Refuse to be around them, and make it clear why, and reject the narrative of being a victim - focus instead on asking what they are doing to prevent needless harm. This is what most of us think of when we consider dealing with these issues. However, it is a road filled with direct conflict.

2) Employ what in the study of fraud is called a "cooler". The cooler's job is not to absolve the mark, or allow them to view themselves as victims. The cooler helps them redefine themselves in a way that reconciles to reality and allows them to move forward.

Those of us outside the mark's community cannot act as coolers. The mark doesn't give a fetid dingo's kidney if they have the respect of random people on the internet. They have communities that matter to them, that they use to define their role in the world - sometimes called "reference groups" - groups the mark refers to when they consider who they are. Church communities, for example, are often reference groups. The cooler needs to be a face from such a group.

Early on, the work of coolers is often rejected - we have seen some members of Congress who have tried to move beyond the fraud narrative be rejected, for example. But the more coolers you have, the more they become difficult to ignore. The job of society, in this case, becomes to find the coolers, and support them. Allow them to help their communities redefine themselves to be something that no longer embraces the con.

Edit to add: Here's an example of a cooler -
 
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As a general matter, I agree. I think I remember reading, a while ago, about where to live in the US if you didn't want to have any natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, flooding, tornadoes, etc. etc.) and it was some place in Connecticut?

Yeah, but... note how Connecticut just got dumped on by Henri - it did something like $8 to $12 billion in damage.

Which we don't hear about, but that supports your point about how the news cycle moves on.
 

Yeah, but... note how Connecticut just got dumped on by Henri - it did something like $8 to $12 billion in damage.

I went back and looked up what I vaguely recalled-it was Storrs, Connecticut. This was back in 2005 (my, how time flies!).

It was the best place to avoid death from natural disaster.


You may or may not agree with their methodology.
 


I can simply note that in the era dominated by climate change, we can expect nowhere to be safe from events that have been historically rare. Past events will not be a good predictor of future events.

In the USA I figured safest place would be inland on a hill in a geographically stable place not beside a river. Somewhere in the NE Appalachia through to Vermont.
 

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