D&D and the rising pandemic

[Zardnaar]

Anyone else watch ADVChina/Laowhy 86/SerpentZA on YouTube?

They started covering it in January. They lived in China for about 10 years but left about a year ago.

 

[ad_hoc]

Curious why you say that? The way I'm reading it is that virtually every country with 14000+ cases has significantly more deaths than we do

We can get very specific if we want to twist the data. If we only look at countries on that chart between 24000 and 27999 cases then yes USA looks like an outlier.

The outliers there are Germany and Austria. There are plenty of countries on that chart alone who have low deaths per confirmed cases.

Really though, the numbers are all over the place. We don't get much info from that chart alone other than higher confirmed cases in general leads to more deaths.

 

[ad_hoc]

The Canadian Federal Health Minister stated today that we're going to need to prepare for months of social distancing, not weeks.

We're all going to need to look at our lives and decide how to live in this new paradigm as well as what is important contact to have.

Personally, I'm going to keep playing with my D&D group.

 

[Sadras]

Anyone else watch ADVChina/Laowhy 86/SerpentZA on YouTube?

They started covering it in January. They lived in China for about 10 years but left about a year ago.

Some posters that I have seen on line have commented saying they are a little biased, accused them of being arrogant and even misogynist. I have not seen enough of their videos, neither have I visited China to gain form my own perspective so I guess just be attentive when watching their vlogs for such themes, just in case.

 

[Zardnaar]

Some posters that I have seen on line have commented saying they are little biased, accused them of being arrogant and even misogynist. I have not seen enough of their videos, neither have I visited China to gain form my own perspective so I guess just be attentive when watching their vlogs for such themes, just in case.

I can kinda see that. I don't watch them religiously but they've gained attention from the CCP counterpropaganda as well.

Some of their videos have been great, others not so much.

They have admitted that they spent so much time over there they absorbed the local views.

 

[seebs]

Curious why you say that? The way I'm reading it is that virtually every country with 14000+ cases has significantly more deaths than we do

We're huge, which means that 14k for us is significantly earlier in the curve than 14k for a country with 1/5 the population or less, which means earlier in the epidemic, and people take time to die.

 

[FrogReaver]

We're huge, which means that 14k for us is significantly earlier in the curve than 14k for a country with 1/5 the population or less, which means earlier in the epidemic, and people take time to die.

That's not really how exponential growth works. 14k for us is presumably the same as 14k for them (some variation for social distancing and such)

Now maybe 14k of them means their hospitals are already overloaded while ours are not. I don't think that's the case for the European countries though.

 

[FrogReaver]

We can get very specific if we want to twist the data. If we only look at countries on that chart between 24000 and 27999 cases then yes USA looks like an outlier.

The outliers there are Germany and Austria. There are plenty of countries on that chart alone who have low deaths per confirmed cases.

Really though, the numbers are all over the place. We don't get much info from that chart alone other than higher confirmed cases in general leads to more deaths.

You shouldn't accuse others of twisting data.

Low deaths per confirmed case when the total number of cases are low may also just mean they haven't had the virus in that country for long enough for the deaths to increase which is why I was discounting those countries numbers.

The numbers aren't as tightly grouped yet. Give it another week or so and we will see if those countries with low numbers of deaths per case stay that way or start increasing in deaths faster than cases.

 

[ad_hoc]

You shouldn't accuse others of twisting data.

Low deaths per confirmed case when the total number of cases are low may also just mean they haven't had the virus in that country for long enough for the deaths to increase which is why I was discounting those countries numbers.

The numbers aren't as tightly grouped yet. Give it another week or so and we will see if those countries with low numbers of deaths per case stay that way or start increasing in deaths faster than cases.

So you're coming up with a reasoning for one case yet are discounting a multitude of possible reasonings for the USA situation.

We just don't have the information. It is impossible to look at a chart of confirmed cases vs deaths and find conclusions.

There are so many variables. I am not an expert and don't have the data. I doubt you are either.

Just admit you don't know.

 

[FrogReaver]

So you're coming up with a reasoning for one case yet are discounting a multitude of possible reasonings for the USA situation.

We just don't have the information. It is impossible to look at a chart of confirmed cases vs deaths and find conclusions.

There are so many variables. I am not an expert and don't have the data. I doubt you are either.

Just admit you don't know.

That's why I said USA deaths looks like an outlier....