D&D and the rising pandemic

[Zardnaar]

Blind optimism doesn't help. The "best" is what you hope for. The "worst" is what you actually plan for. Doing otherwise is opening yourself up to failure.

I prepped for the worst here (Italy).

If need be we weren't going to leave the house for two months even to go to the supermarket. Our curve was doubling every two days like everyone else.

Started stocking up before panic buying and during panic buying bought stuff late at night getting brands and product no one else wanted. Plenty of canned chickpeas I'ma not fussy.

 

[Eltab]

I guess the question there is how long can an economy be shut down before a large portion of people start not being able to afford essentials. At that point the cure is worse than the disease - but I'm not sure how long that actually takes.

If my local Public Library had not shut down, my trip this weekend would involve finding the shelf with books about the Great Depression and picking as many books as I can carry that seem to speak towards that point. Would that there was somebody taking reservations and sending books out via NDA mail or something.

Looking for somebody who can address the public with attitude like Thomas Edison: "I haven't failed {to create an electric light bulb}. I just found 9,999 ways that didn't work." But on the 10,000th try ... there was light !

 

[FrogReaver]

Blind optimism doesn't help. The "best" is what you hope for. The "worst" is what you actually plan for. Doing otherwise is opening yourself up to failure.

Okay - so worst is it's goina kill us all. What now?

 

[Zardnaar]

Okay - so worst is it's goina kill us all. What now?

At the worst I doubt it would kill 1%. In theory you could out right do nothing but there's something else going on.

I'll let you draw your on conclusions what that something else is but the polite version is our grand parents were wiser.

Great depression tldr version.

30% unemployment
Food prices halved
GDP contracted almost 50%
Low inflation
Low interest rates
Run on banks
Soup kitchens
Dust bowl in mid west.

People sewed their in clothes, dressed in sack clothes, travelled to work on farms in return for small amounts of cash and room and food. Seamstress in family or if you could grow your own food was an advantage.

Plus side they know how to get out of them. Downside several countries are already close to wartime levels of debt.

 

[Dannyalcatraz]

So I get called out when I start talking about a bunch of stuff we don't know about the virus. How about I call you out for the same. We don't know hardly any of that so its not better of you to suggest the worst case than it is for me to suggest the best.

I really have no idea what you’re talking about re: your posts, but all I’m doing on that quoted post is echoing the points made by virologists and epidemiologists.

 

[Zardnaar]

2 more deaths, 16 total. New cases 3. Was 5 yesterday, 8 in the weekend.

Stuff

i.stuff.co.nz

One if them was sick for a month. Youngest victim yet at 62 with pre existing conditions.

Stuff

i.stuff.co.nz

 

[Azzy]

Okay - so worst is it's goina kill us all. What now?

A) That's not actually the worst case scenario. The dead do not suffer.
B) That's not actually a realistic worst-case scenario given the worst projections.
C) If it were realistic, then behave like it and try to mitigate it as best as possible.

Do you have any other weird flexes that you would like to blithely share with the rest of the class?

 

[Nilbog]

Human trials on the U.K. vaccine start on Thuraday.

Coronavirus: UK vaccine to be trialled on people from Thursday — Sky News

Clinical trials of a coronavirus vaccine will begin on people from Thursday, Health Secretary Matt Hancock has said.

apple.news

I am not a religious person by a long way but I'm praying like never before for this to be successful

 

[abirdcall]

I am not a religious person by a long way but I'm praying like never before for this to be successful

When the estimates are that a vaccine is 12-18 months away that is because clinical trials take a long time.

Even when they are fast tracked.

A lot of evidence and scrutiny needs to happen before something is mass administered. We don't want to give people something that is worse for them.

 

[Nilbog]

When the estimates are that a vaccine is 12-18 months away that is because clinical trials take a long time.

Even when they are fast tracked.

A lot of evidence and scrutiny needs to happen before something is mass administered. We don't want to give people something that is worse for them.

Oh I know, but really I'm pretty much at wits end and clinging to any little bit of optimism I can. Good news is in scant supply, so I try to cherish every little I can.