Clint_L
Hero
It's hard for me to gauge how to read all these responses, because many are from folks who, long before this, were making generally anti-D&D or anti-5e posts and threads. I'll be interested to see some objective numbers on the impact this controversy has on actual sales, though I'm not sure how easy it will be to tease that out of the data. DnDBeyond subscriptions might give us a clue, but it can be very hard to distinguish between correlation and causation.
For example, if sales go up, someone might claim, "a-ha - the OGL fiasco didn't make a difference, just as I suspected!" Except maybe they would have gone up even more without it. Conversely, if sales drop off, we'll probably see claims of, "you see! they shot themselves in the foot." Except maybe sales would have dropped anyway regardless of the OGL thing.
My suspicion is that there will be a negative impact that will tie into a general decline in D&D's popularity that I felt was already happening (at my school, for example, there isn't the uptake there was even a year ago). In the long, long term, I don't think it will make much difference. I think the movie, WotC successfully implementing an intuitive VTT, and successfully making the shift to OneD&D are going to matter far more to D&D's overall success.
For example, if sales go up, someone might claim, "a-ha - the OGL fiasco didn't make a difference, just as I suspected!" Except maybe they would have gone up even more without it. Conversely, if sales drop off, we'll probably see claims of, "you see! they shot themselves in the foot." Except maybe sales would have dropped anyway regardless of the OGL thing.
My suspicion is that there will be a negative impact that will tie into a general decline in D&D's popularity that I felt was already happening (at my school, for example, there isn't the uptake there was even a year ago). In the long, long term, I don't think it will make much difference. I think the movie, WotC successfully implementing an intuitive VTT, and successfully making the shift to OneD&D are going to matter far more to D&D's overall success.