Bagpuss
Legend
Im a casual xBox gamer. I have my games and sometimes try a new one, but I’m not aware of any big Microsoft or Bethesda scandal they might be having right now of have had in the past (heck, I even had to google how to spell Bethesda). If all else fails, I still have my games and will continue to play them occasionally and be contented.
I imagine casual D&D players are similar.
Yeah I can agree about your casual players to a degree, except the casual players I've gained recently came from wanting to play D&D because Critical Role play it. If the influencers all switch (which it is looking like) I suspect they will switch what they are interested in too.
Also it isn't the casual players that drive what gets played it's the GMs, and if you look at any of the people involved in online forums and stuff it is nearly always 80% or more the GMs. So while your casual players might not care about the OGL 1.1, a lot of the GMs do from what we are seeing online, and they decide what gets played, and how it is played.