Well, that's about stupid.
Not really has to be viable.
Wasn't that long ago air travel was a luxury for the rich or something you would save for.
Wife asked me this last night.
"Can the USA even eliminate Covid".
Probably not.
I have a sane government here and we got shown three curves. Containment, herd plan, and what most countries are doing.
That plan which is half assed isolation drags it out to the end if the year around October. That's wave one it's unknown if you get multiple waves.
Personally I don't think lockdowns viable for more than 2-3 months. Because of the economy.
By that I don't mean money is more valuable than humans but disruptions to the food supply. Most people can't afford to not work for two-3 months. We're already seeing food shortages, food lines in USA.
Covids killed 250k people. Starvation due to Covids disruption is 30 million people.
Even if USA locked down now properly and you could enforce it it's still going to take at least 3 months from now to drive the numbers down to around 0. Took 49 days here and we caught it early/behind the cycle and we've had two days of 0 cases I expect we will get more.
They shut down everything to do it. I can't see America doing no Walmart, no Amazon, no takeaways, no deliveries.
We're also in uncharted waters here. We've got 1929 to look at and the Spanish Flu but the world is a very different place now. Cars and planes existed but they weren't like now. Cars were luxury item for rich, airlines were just getting started.
Pandemics seem to last a year or two in a particular area. By the time they develop a vaccine it may have burned itself out.
Things are falling apart faster than 1929 though. There was a smaller depression 1929-20 that kinda primed the pump for 1929 but I suppose you could compare that with the GFC to now I suppose.
