D&D and the rising pandemic

The big thing is how many acute care beds are available. I think the US is somewhere around 65000. So how many cases do you have to have before that capacity is filled? For some reason, the reported 'acute case' rate is not being reported for the US - it's been at 64 for well over a week now. This means it's impossible to tell close to capacity the system is yet.

I had thought that 64 looked drastically low. Good to know.
 

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The big thing is how many acute care beds are available. I think the US is somewhere around 65000. So how many cases do you have to have before that capacity is filled? For some reason, the reported 'acute case' rate is not being reported for the US - it's been at 64 for well over a week now. This means it's impossible to tell close to capacity the system is yet.

Apparently 15% is serious and 5% critical.

Multiply 65000 by 20 and say 5.

Might give you a range.

Ours is 3500 but they're working on doubling that.

We've gone to alert 2, I'm expect alert 3 in a few days or by Friday at the latest.

59 cases no deaths. Alert 2 is non essential businesses asked to shut down. Alert 3 is told to shut down. Alert 4 is everything shut down but the essentials.

They've made a list of essential businesses. Food, medicine, freight, food production.

My wife's in freight,at least I know where supplies are going.
 

I fear for much of sub-saharan Africa. So far this virus has shown itself to be very good at transmission.

Possibly ironically, a lot of Africa is better prepared than, say, the US, because they've had Ebola outbreaks and they are actively maintaining resources, training, and practice in dealing with and shutting down epidemics.
 

USA surpassed Germany in total cases. About half of all cases in New York.

USA is now #4 country in most cases.
 

Many people in Mexico were saying how they need to close the borders to the US so they don't get the virus there. Well, several wealthy Mexican who went to Colorado to ski all tested positive after returning home. So it looks like it will spread throughout Mexico as well. Which is horrible news to that nation's poor population :(
 

USA surpassed Germany in total cases. About half of all cases in New York.

USA is now #4 country in most cases.

We're going to need to close the internal border with New York to all but commercial traffic.

The most recent numbers out of Washington look good. I'm really praying that most of America has taken social distancing seriously so we can kill this wyrm before it gets large.

New York is going to be ugly. New Orleans could get ugly. Fingers crossed most of the rest of the country will recover.
 

We're going to need to close the internal border with New York to all but commercial traffic.

The most recent numbers out of Washington look good. I'm really praying that most of America has taken social distancing seriously so we can kill this wyrm before it gets large.

New York is going to be ugly. New Orleans could get ugly. Fingers crossed most of the rest of the country will recover.

I took a drive around town today. Live on the Virginia-Tennessee border. Walmart parking lot jam packed. Almost looked like a typical Saturday at 2pm. One restaurant had a big banner saying their lobby as open. My area doesn't have it bad - but their are rumors hospitals are starting to have cases. Nothing announced on the news yet though. Which to me most likely means is spreading fast and underreported/undertested.
 

I took a drive around town today. Live on the Virginia-Tennessee border. Walmart parking lot jam packed. Almost looked like a typical Saturday at 2pm. One restaurant had a big banner saying their lobby as open. My area doesn't have it bad - but their are rumors hospitals are starting to have cases. Nothing announced on the news yet though. Which to me most likely means is spreading fast and underreported/undertested.

They're tracing anyone positive here and self isolating them with checks.

Talked a friend yesterday on Facebook. She asked how bad was it so asked her did she want the blunt version or the soft version.

She asked for blunt, asked her if she knew about Italy. She didn't so sent her links to Reuters and BBC Italy.
 

I took a drive around town today. Live on the Virginia-Tennessee border. Walmart parking lot jam packed. Almost looked like a typical Saturday at 2pm. One restaurant had a big banner saying their lobby as open. My area doesn't have it bad - but their are rumors hospitals are starting to have cases. Nothing announced on the news yet though. Which to me most likely means is spreading fast and underreported/undertested.

Everywhere that doesn't take it seriously is going to regret it later.
 

I took a drive around town today. Live on the Virginia-Tennessee border. Walmart parking lot jam packed. Almost looked like a typical Saturday at 2pm. One restaurant had a big banner saying their lobby as open. My area doesn't have it bad - but their are rumors hospitals are starting to have cases. Nothing announced on the news yet though. Which to me most likely means is spreading fast and underreported/undertested.
Anyone who couldn't get out much during the week because they were working from home is trying to do their shopping this weekend. Here in England the Sunday trading laws mean most supermarkets open either 10am-4pm or 11am-5pm, and I fully expect cars to be queuing down the street at the stores' respective opening times as people try to get into the theoretically freshly-stocked shops. I'll be steering well clear.
 

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