Confirmation rolls slow down the game. They aren't needed if you don't introduce the silly fumble/autosuccess mechanic to begin with.Remember also that in 5E a "failure" is also a lack of progress. There is also the variant rule that if your modifier is high enough and the DC is low enough, you don't even need to roll. For the people (like you) who don't want the straight 1 or 20 to have that impact, you can employ a confirmation roll. If they are buffoony enough that would basically need two 20's in a row and if they were legendary grand masters, they would need two 1's in a row.![]()
I found this odd when I took a statistics course, didn't understand most of it, and its very possible Im wrong and misremembering, but I seem to recall that that yes if you flip a coin its 50% itll land on heads or tails. But I think that the if you flipped it 100 times statistically it will land on one more than the other. So 50% doesnt make sense to me but then again I got a D in the class so listening to me isnt wise.I don't claim to be a statistician. I don't even play one on TV. I still don't follow because a 1 always misses and there is a 5% chance of a 1 every time you roll a D20. If you flip a coin it doesn't matter if it was heads or tails the previous flip, it's still a 50% chance of heads or tails. But it's lies, damn lies and statistics so ... sure. Still more than I would care for.
LOL considering they only happen 10% of the time, they don't slow things down that much.Confirmation rolls slow down the game. They aren't needed if you don't introduce the silly fumble/autosuccess mechanic to begin with.
If your group likes the houserule then that's great. I have nothing against you using houserules in a game I'm not playing in. But this tangent started from you saying that this should be an official rule and with that I strongly disagree.LOL considering they only happen 10% of the time, they don't slow things down that much.
Besides, a lot of players like the tension confirmation rolls and a critical hit/fumble system provides.
Again, you do you, but your tone that they are "silly" just because you don't agree with them or like them is a bit offensive. I am sure you do things in your game I would find silly as well, so let's drop it?
The more flips you do, the closer you will come to 50/50 heads/tails. You might do 100 flips and get 43/57 or 48/52 or even 0/100 (insanely unlikely, though...). The further you get away from the 50/50, the more likely some other factor is contributing to the situation. If you got 41/59 or greater away from 50/50, I would question things such as the balance of the coin, etc. because you are significantly away from it just being random chance. It is certainly still possible, but at that point I would start to question things.I found this odd when I took a statistics course, didn't understand most of it, and its very possible Im wrong and misremembering, but I seem to recall that that yes if you flip a coin its 50% itll land on heads or tails. But I think that the if you flipped it 100 times statistically it will land on one more than the other. So 50% doesnt make sense to me but then again I got a D in the class so listening to me isnt wise.
I never said confirmation rolls should be part of the system, just that it was an option for people who don't want a 1 to fail and a 20 to succeed because they feel 5% for each is too great. And at that point when I was talking about 20 always succeeding and 1 always failing, those weren't "silly" criticals/fumbles as you seemed to think.If your group likes the houserule then that's great. I have nothing against you using houserules in a game I'm not playing in. But this tangent started from you saying that this should be an official rule and with that I strongly disagree.
Statistics are never straight forward.The more flips you do, the closer you will come to 50/50 heads/tails. You might do 100 flips and get 43/57 or 48/52 or even 0/100 (insanely unlikely, though...). The further you get away from the 50/50, the more likely some other factor is contributing to the situation. If you got 41/59 or greater away from 50/50, I would question things such as the balance of the coin, etc. because you are significantly away from it just being random chance. It is certainly still possible, but at that point I would start to question things.