SableWyvern
Hero
Now that the paladin is invisible, he could, in theory at least, be anywhere. While it is likely that he isn't too far away from the last square he occupied while he was still visible, it is not impossible that he may have somehow moved near/adjacent to a PC I happen to want to attack. While you can certainly suspect that such an event is highly unlikely, you cannot dismiss it as utterly impossible, because by definition, you cannot see him, and thus cannot possibly know whether you have managed to attack him or not with your area attack until it has actually been made.
So, going by the spirit of the rule in this case, it's simple to rule that your best guess has to in fact be a best guess made in good faith, not a "most suitable for me so I'll pretend like I think that's where he is guess." The divine magic knows if you really think your taking your best possible shot, and can't be tricked by a rules-lawyer. Exclaim, "He could have been there!" all you want -- if you know it's more likely he's actually over there, then the magic knows you knew.
I don't see where I am ignoring the literal rules.
You're ignoring them as soon as you present a situation where it's possible to take a best guess as to where an invisible challenger is and take a shot at them, without automatically taking divine challenge damage.
Claiming that my explanation is wrong because it appears overpowered...
I don't know if you're still addressing me, but ... I never made any such claim. Not even remotely. My problem with your explanation is that I think it's silly. It may, in fact, be RAW, RAI and the very will of the gods. I still think it's silly.
Edit for clarity: And I should also point out, since you've moved on to discussing paladins marking and retreating or attacking from range: the only thing I've been talking about in this thread is Divine Challenge and Invisible Paladins.
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