KenM said:
Most places are getting Doom 3 in either tonight or tomorrow, I want to know what other ENworlders think of game.
BBC reports, as picked up by Gamespot and Gamasutra, as follows
At one point, the network's technology correspondent Alfred Hermida counted 50,000 peer-to-peer users downloading the 1.5 GB game--$2,749,500 worth of software at Doom 3's $54.99 sticker price. Other reports put the figure between 30,000 and 20,000--$1,649,700 and $1,099,800 of software, respectively.
Whichever figures are accurate, it is clear the piracy of Doom 3 is costing developer id Software and publisher Activision millions of dollars. However, it was unclear what steps the publisher was taking to stop the piracy, given that it had not commented as of press time.
All games get pirated - but this is FAR worse than normal.
It is no secret that that PC market is rife with piracy and it is no secret that is why there are so few Triple A PC Games in development. It's piracy. It's not some other reason. It's piracy, simpliciter.
Even on a conservative estimate, taking into account piracy in North America alone, the ratio of pirates to buyers is 7:1.
And that's ALREADY discounted from the 15:1 of those who grab it but would never have bought it so it's not a "lost sale".
Europe the number go up higher. Asia? You'd be lucky to FIND a legal copy in a lot of countries. (ok - not a lost sale perhaps - but not a ripe market for expansion either).
So what's my reaction to Doom3?
I think if this sort of piracy prevails, we can expect triple A game development to cease, or expect **massive** intrusion by online activation codes such that the game will ONLY work with a live internet connection.
I don't mean "in a while". I mean the shockwave will start
"this quarter". The number of new triple A's in development was already low. The number of new ones after this? You'll be lucky to find more than 5 in all of 2005 starting new development.
Most companies won't bother going the route of trailblazing new technology on a triple A - they'll just switch to Xbox and say "screw this". And I don't blame them a bit.
PC Game development has been swirling the bowl for the past few years. Ever tried to get funding from a publisher? GOOD LUCK boyo.
But this *obscene* level of piracy on a Triple A game like Doom3 is going to mark the beginning of the end of the market as we know it.
That's what I think of Doom3.
And its damned sad - that's what it is.