Thomas Shey
Legend
In no particular order-
The reason I noted that you don't play 5e is not because you are not allowed to discuss 5e. It's for a more salient reason- while you might think that your lack of playing 5e somehow makes you more dispassionate or a better observer or something with regard to this conversation (about the statistics of people playing 5e), others might view it as odd. Because ... you are very invested in a conversation over which you have no first-hand knowledge. Other than observing the comments on these boards, which are not representative of the player base as a whole, you really can't speak to the issues that people keep telling you. So when people (as they always do) keep saying that there is a high demand for the "simple fighter," especially for new players, it is bizarre that you choose to push back so hard given that you don't actually have any knowledge at all. Again, since 2015 I have run games for new players, repeatedly, for years, and the fighter is the single most popular choice, over and over again, over the course of years. These are players that are new to D&D, so it's not like they've been "contaminated" with past edition knowledge. And this anecdotal experience matches with the anecdotal experience of other people with similar experiences that I have spoken to. Moreover, it matches with the stats that are reported.
The problem here is that I've seen the same claims outside 5er, and outside the D&D-sphere before, with the same, to be charitable, assumptions that the data applies. And I don't even think its wrong, per se (it would be a bit of a stretch to not suggest that people sometimes want a simple character type to play at best). I'm just noting that the degree to which people insist its true in any game whatsoever is not heavily supported in any objective way, but people will certainly act like it is. And this isn't the only area where that's true.
Next, you complain about the data set. Again, we see the same thing here that we have seen every single time a data set is reported. The fighter comes out as the top choice.
And I've never suggested it wouldn't be. What I've challenged is the assumptions about why.
Finally, I am not going to further address your issues with WoTC's survey methodology. There has been enough ink spilled on the issue of their choice to design in a "safe" manner by only making broadly popular changes. It is what it is; that said, I don't particularly care to go down the rabbit hole of those who will often criticize WoTC for "slavishly following surveys" and refusing to make bold choices on the one hand, and then criticizing WoTC for not correctly using data on the other hand.
If you assume I have both those positions, I'd like a quote to show it, otherwise I'm not required to carry water for other people's pathologies. If the surveys are properly done (but I consider that a massive "if") and interpreted, then I'd say WOTC's decision here is entirely logical, at least on a business and property growth basis. I am just unwilling to make that assumption because I've seen too many cases of business related surveys that fell on the rocks too many ways, and very few companies are willing to reveal their methodologies fully for me to extend trust as a given.