I’m not so sure. I feel that this time the House of the Mouse will turn out to be mouse sized after all.
The powers that be seem to consider AI development an area of vital strategic relevance. They won't let something trivial like some tens billions $ worth of copyright infringement get in the way.
Very brief background on this (all based on memory, not doing actual sources or checking, so take this FWIW):
1. Why did Disney file this lawsuit, and now (and it's not just Disney- Comcast / Universal / NBC is joining)?
Well, apparently the US Copyright Office was about to release an opinion that stated that LLMs that used copyrighted material was infringement. However, the current administration quashed it (and maybe fired the writer of the opinion? not sure on that). Word is that, like briggart said, certain whispers to the administration from certain people (use your imagination) convinced them that we couldn't
allow a mineshaft gap fall behind other countries in AI by allowing copyright claims like this. Disney saw that the usual administrative channels would not work so they went to Court.
2. Why is the lawsuit pled like this?
If I understand it correctly, Disney (and friends) aren't going after the scraping. Instead, they are going after the
output. In other words, they are taking the scraping and copying off of the table (for now). Instead, they are making an easier claim- the AI is making infringing derivative works. In other words, regardless of what went in, it outputs infringing works. A lot of them. And that adds up real real quick in terms of damages.
3. Okay, why midjourney?
Because OpenAI has a lot of money. Disney wants to get a good ruling, and it's going after an entity that doesn't have all the money to burn on good attorneys.
This has been a short, and hopefully accurate, summary of what I understand. It's worth what you paid me.
