I had a streak a few years back when four or five sessions in a row I did not once roll higher than a 12. No matter which d20 I used (and I even made sure it wasn't a d12), it was just, "Yup, I missed again."
Slight thread derailment here, but there was one time several years ago that me and the rest of our party replaced this one knucklehead's D20's with duplicates that were numbered 1-10 twice, and he didn't even notice - after two sessions, we had to tell him we'd spiked his dice before he ragequit, lol.
We had a similar occurrence with someone whose dice luck was absolutely terrible - he forgot his dice one session and borrowed some from another player. His dice luck that evening was so consistent with every other game that we didn't realise he'd accidentally picked out a 20-sided d10 until he rolled a zero.Slight thread derailment here, but there was one time several years ago that me and the rest of our party replaced this one knucklehead's D20's with duplicates that were numbered 1-10 twice, and he didn't even notice - after two sessions, we had to tell him we'd spiked his dice before he ragequit, lol.
Today while I was DMing a PC took 3d10 damage from a Hellish Rebuke.
This is what I rolled.
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Not quite, since order isn't important. If it was, then there would be 1000 permutations and you would be correct. But rolling 4, 5, 6 for 15 damage is the same as rolling 6, 5, 4 or 5, 4, 6 or 4, 6, 5, etc.Every result is a 1 in a 1000 chance.
While order does not matter for the final dice total, each combination of dice is 1 of 1000 combinations. 4, 5, 6 and 6, 5, 4 both equal 15, but each is a unique roll in that sense.Not quite, since order isn't important. If it was, then there would be 1000 permutations and you would be correct. But rolling 4, 5, 6 for 15 damage is the same as rolling 6, 5, 4 or 5, 4, 6 or 4, 6, 5, etc.
Obviously, which is why I said "Not quite."While order does not matter for the final dice total, each combination of dice is 1 of 1000 combinations. 4, 5, 6 and 6, 5, 4 both equal 15, but each is a unique roll in that sense.
Thank you for explaining this so I didn't have to point it out to folks who think they are really clever (but apparently not clever enough to actually read the whole thread and see how many times others have made the same comment). The odds of such pedantry on ENWorld are much better than 1 in a 1000 apparently.Obviously, which is why I said "Not quite."
Since the TOTAL is what is important, however, order doesn't matter...![]()
The odds of rolling exactly three 1's is:So what are the odds of rolling three "1"s on d20 in 10 rounds of combat?
Not a D&D story, but apropos of this, I was in a gaming circle that played a lot of Here I Stand (the card-driven Reformation Era game) for a spell several years back.Never roll dice with the clergy - that woman could roll a nat 20 on a D6...![]()
I got the chance to sit down and thoroughly work this out today - it actually comes out to 1 chance in about 5130. (124747 chances in 6.4e8, to be precise.)I roll a 20. Then a 10. Then a 20. Then a 17. (If I'm not mistaken, there's odds of about 1 in 4211 of doing that well or better.)