D&D Movie/TV D&D Movie Hit or Flop?


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FrogReaver

As long as i get to be the frog
Movie doesn’t appear to be going to hit 200m international box office. Closer to 160m.

80 million or so. Double that for for streaming/tv/dvd equivalent and we are at about 160M which is still far off from ad and production budgets 200-250M. Merchandising helps, but it’s hard to see it as helping that much.

I think the movie likely loses money overall or at some point in the distant future limps to a tiny profit.

There’s a chance this is wrong it might be the biggest streaming and dvd/tv* success in a decade but it’s doubtful.

Unlike @Zardnaar and the others though I am taking into account the other revenue streams by estimation.
 

payn

He'll flip ya...Flip ya for real...
Might actually be a problem copying the GotG formula. That was ten years ago grown stale MCU seems to be in the doldrums as well.
I dont think that is the issue. Most audience and critics like the film. I think its more likely it was sandwiched between things people really know and really like (Wick, Mario). Nobody (outside D&D core fans and even then...) really knows what D&D is exactly. There are so many settings, monsters, etc... There is nothing folks can point to and say "yeap, D&D". It just comes off as generic fantasy. Which is why I think the series have more potential to build the identity.
 




I think at this point those estimations are overstated.
The estimates pre launch were too low. The floor estimate of weekend two were too severe. The expectation for international weekend two were also too low.

The industry magazines expected Honor Among Thieves to be a clear flop. Instead it's hovering in the middle ground
 

FrogReaver

As long as i get to be the frog
The estimates pre launch were too low. The floor estimate of weekend two were too severe. The expectation for international weekend two were also too low.

The industry magazines expected Honor Among Thieves to be a clear flop. Instead it's hovering in the middle ground
You said it would hit 225 million. I said that estimate seems too high given the current state.

I got no dog in the race about any other projections.
 


There is a difference between "no so good as we wanted" and "a failure".

Even if the movie was a relative failure in short term there are reasons to hope it a succes in long term.

Of course they wanted to get a lot of incomes but the true goal was to promote the brand, and thanks the movie, that will become more valious.

Before you have to create enough prestige and popularity for the IP, and later this will give true incomes.

Paramount could be driven to produce an animated epic fantasy for Nickelodeon. For example a relatively kid-friendly version (or spiritual succesor) of Dark Sun.

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And Netflix could talk with Hasbro for an animated adaptation of Gamma World or Star*Drive/Star Frontiers/d20 Future.

I hope this movie helped to open new doors for the franchise.

The incomes are going to arrive later Paramount wanted, but there are some external circustances. It is not fault by movie itself.
 

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