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D&D Movie/TV D&D Movie Hit or Flop?

$500 million is a lowball estimate for how much a $150 million blockbuster needs to make.
yeah, that is in line with the 2 x (production cost + marketing), and marketing being not that far behind cost for movies in that price range (or lower)

HAT most likely needs more than 400M, at the low end
 

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For whatever reason this popped up in my mind, but the director of the 2016 Ghostbusters reboot (which had a similar budget as the D&D movie, around $150 million) made a comment on what that movie had to make at the box office to break even in an article:


"As opening day approaches, Feig can’t help but think about the stakes of making a $150 million movie. “A movie like this has to at least get to like $500 million worldwide, and that’s probably low,” he says."

$500 million is a lowball estimate for how much a $150 million blockbuster needs to make.

Sony did eventually decide to make another Ghostbusters movie, but Ghostbusters Afterlife was a much lower budget film (only $75 million) and tried making a direct sequel to the original 2 films instead of a remake. Sony also owns the Ghostbusters franchise and stands to make money off of merchandise sales, unlike the D&D movie where only one of the production companies gets merchandise sales.

yeah, that is in line with the 2 x (production cost + marketing), and marketing being not that far behind cost for movies in that price range (or lower)

HAT most likely needs more than 400M, at the low end
2016 Ghostbusters was in a very different streaming environment. Paramount+ didn't even exist. Now it plus Showtime have 100 million people globally
 


Doesn't change how much the movie has to make, at best it changes how it can get there
Not quite, as 100 million from the streaming service they own isn't split the same as 100 million from theater distribution. That's also true for licensed goods or Hasbro produced toys or Wizards produced books.
 




Not quite, as 100 million from the streaming service they own isn't split the same as 100 million from theater distribution. That's also true for licensed goods or Hasbro produced toys or Wizards produced books.
yeah, quite, Paramount is not Paramount+, licensed toys are probably no better than the share you get from tickets either

Also, I pretty much doubt the 100M for HAT from Paramount+, where is that number from?
 


yeah, quite, Paramount is not Paramount+, licensed toys are probably no better than the share you get from tickets either

Also, I pretty much doubt the 100M for HAT from Paramount+, where is that number from?
It was used as an example.

CBS-Viacom definitely get a higher share of revenue from a movie that they pay to put on a platform they own than they do for a movie in Regal Cinemas
 

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