jdavis
First Post
As far as Space Opera shows go I think they are a dying breed, in the seventies they were too expensive, in the eighties they were too expensive and in the nineties they got a lot of attention because they had been too expensive before but could be done on computers now. I don't think you can get the crowds you used to with crappy digital effects, so now we have higher expectations of what we wish to see, which makes them too expensive again. Occult Sci Fi still throws some good shows every now and again (X Files, Buffy) but there are only so many people out there who are good enough to produce watchable shows in that genre. The Mini Series is dead on network TV due to the cost (they are very expensive compared to how much air time you get out of them). They have found new life on cable and Sci Fi has used them pretty well to draw people in but the big mistake Sci Fi has made was they don't have any way to keep the viewers after the mini series is over. That little 2 minute commercial that aired before Galactica where they ran through the next years teasers was the most important part of the show, and they blew it (they went the reality show route about 2 years too late for it to look anything but desperate, and I can't even remember anything else they showed clips of). Galactica scored huge ratings for them but it failed to boost any other shows ratings at all and that's part of the reason of having big event mini series and stuff, to get attention for the network. They have the budget to do maybe two miniseries a year and they have to be huge events to pan out so they can't be very risky about what they do. They just don't have the budget for much stuff. How long can they continue to show 10 hours a week of Stargate SG1 before they burn that out, and what else do they have waiting? Sci Fi can't save science fiction because they don't even have a big enough budget to make good science fiction (and they are run by morons but that's a different discusion). I'm sure there will be more Bryant Gumbel UFO specials in the future from them though.
Another thing happening is that we are starting to see a negative backlash from cable saturation. The days of the big budget must see TV network show are coming to a end. It's very hard to generate the Nielson numbers like you could ten years ago, networks are starting to spend less on shows instead of more on shows. There is just so little return to be had on their investment anymore, instead of 3 or 4 shows they have to compete with at that time slot they now have to compete with dozens and dozens of shows. It's real hard to generate decent numbers for any show and Sci Fi has always been considered niche entertainment so it's a real risk. At the end Buffy wasn't doing all that great of numbers and it never really did standout numbers, there is no garantee it would of made it past the first season on one of the big networks. Star Trek always has done decent numbers but it's never done E.R. level numbers for any of the differetn series, heck it doesn't do Spongebob level numbers now. I can't think of a big science fiction hit since X Files. Science fictions biggest hope for the future is the same now as it has always been, feature films.
One area I think you will see a increase in is in imported Japanese Animation science fiction. It's a shame American television has never really embraced animation for serious shows (well not since the 60's when Jonny Quest was a prime time cartoon) as it is comparitively cheap particularly when compared to science fiction show cost and is very flexable. One of the best outlets for science fiction type shows right now is the action section of Adult Swim, it does great ratings (particularly in the 18 to 31 male demographic that is so important these days) and many of the shows are real standouts storyline wise (I'm real suprised there hasn't been a attempt to do a live action Cowboy Bebop series in America). Heck it was my love of science fiction that lead me to anime back in the 80's. Sci Fi really dropped the ball when they let the whole anime thing pass them by, they are the ones who should be doing the adult swim style programming block. It's a large crossover audience that they used to have a part of back in the mid to late 90's that has all but dried up now.
Another thing happening is that we are starting to see a negative backlash from cable saturation. The days of the big budget must see TV network show are coming to a end. It's very hard to generate the Nielson numbers like you could ten years ago, networks are starting to spend less on shows instead of more on shows. There is just so little return to be had on their investment anymore, instead of 3 or 4 shows they have to compete with at that time slot they now have to compete with dozens and dozens of shows. It's real hard to generate decent numbers for any show and Sci Fi has always been considered niche entertainment so it's a real risk. At the end Buffy wasn't doing all that great of numbers and it never really did standout numbers, there is no garantee it would of made it past the first season on one of the big networks. Star Trek always has done decent numbers but it's never done E.R. level numbers for any of the differetn series, heck it doesn't do Spongebob level numbers now. I can't think of a big science fiction hit since X Files. Science fictions biggest hope for the future is the same now as it has always been, feature films.
One area I think you will see a increase in is in imported Japanese Animation science fiction. It's a shame American television has never really embraced animation for serious shows (well not since the 60's when Jonny Quest was a prime time cartoon) as it is comparitively cheap particularly when compared to science fiction show cost and is very flexable. One of the best outlets for science fiction type shows right now is the action section of Adult Swim, it does great ratings (particularly in the 18 to 31 male demographic that is so important these days) and many of the shows are real standouts storyline wise (I'm real suprised there hasn't been a attempt to do a live action Cowboy Bebop series in America). Heck it was my love of science fiction that lead me to anime back in the 80's. Sci Fi really dropped the ball when they let the whole anime thing pass them by, they are the ones who should be doing the adult swim style programming block. It's a large crossover audience that they used to have a part of back in the mid to late 90's that has all but dried up now.