D&D Movie/TV Guess the D&D Movie Opening Weekend Box Office Performance, and Win a Prize!

[UngeheuerLich]

I'm not. I'm saying John Wick is depressing the ticket sales of the D&D movie, because it is.

Probably. It might affect our little conpetition. But I think the D&D movie will have stronger sales over the long run. One point is that it is suitable for families too.

 

[Clint_L]

Also, that basically doubled JW4 on Friday.
Monday ads will almost certainly be "See the number one movie that everyone is talking about"

A 15m opening night should crest 50m

More like low 40s unless it seriously under/overperforms. I’m suddenly feeling better about my 47 million prediction. Though I think it’ll come in at 42.

 

[Clint_L]

The good news is Easter long weekend should give it a boost, and with very good reviews and an A- audience score it should have good legs - maybe 150 million domestic in total.

 

[Zardnaar]

I'm not. I'm saying John Wick is depressing the ticket sales of the D&D movie, because it is.

How? I think people over estimated how much the movie would bring in tbh.

 

[OB1]

Deadline now estimating a $38.5M opening after a $13.1M Saturday haul ($28.4M total thru Saturday). If Sunday comes in better than expected, low 40s are still a possibility.

Edit: John Wick 4 is expected to pull in $29M this weekend, so unless something crazy happens today, D&D will be the #1 movie in America!

 

[Henadic Theologian]

Deadline now estimating a $38.5M opening after a $13.1M Saturday haul ($28.4M total thru Saturday). If Sunday comes in better than expected, low 40s are still a possibility.

Edit: John Wick 4 is expected to pull in $29M this weekend, so unless something crazy happens today, D&D will be the #1 movie in America!

We also don't really have the international numbers yet, just a hand full of smaller markets, not the big ones like Germany, Indonesia, China, Japan, Uk, Australia, etc...

Also the costs are split between Hasbro & Paramount, but Eone Hasbro's company has distrubution rights only in Canada & the US, Paramount has it everywhere else.

This means its Hasbro that shouldering the risk, but I'm betting they are banking on more then making up any loss via merch sales and a long term boost to the the brand & cinematic universe.

So the bar for success as far as Paramount is concerned is actually alot lower because of how heavily Hasbro subsidized this money in their favour.

Hasbro is likely banking on making its money more on the merch side of things, and if DADHAT ends up being a loss leader for their taxes, its not ideal, but its fine as long as Paramount are happy enough to keep helping to build a D&D cinematic universe.

 

[Clint_L]

The good news is Easter long weekend should give it a boost, and with very good reviews and an A- audience score it should have good legs - maybe 150 million domestic in total.

Oh wait…Super Mario opens next weekend, doesn’t it? Well, that’s not good.

Maybe make that around 100 million domestic.

 

[bedir than]

Oh wait…Super Mario opens next weekend, doesn’t it? Well, that’s not good.

Maybe make that around 100 million domestic.

The Super Mario studio doesn't think it's good. Their review embargo runs to opening day

 

[Paul Farquhar]

Saw the trailer before D&D. It looked - not good.

 

[Henadic Theologian]

Al

The Super Mario studio doesn't think it's good. Their review embargo runs to opening day

That is not a good sign, although that shouldn't hurt it too much on opening weekend.